Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | (0.2%) | +2.6% | +1.3% | +12.9% | +0.4% | (7.7%) | (5.3%) | +4.0% | +5.6% | (9.3%) | +18.5% | |
| 2011 | +4.7% | +3.8% | +5.1% | +2.8% | (9.3%) | (7.5%) | (0.4%) | (20.8%) | (0.5%) | (0.5%) | (0.5%) | (0.5%) |
| 2012 | (0.5%) | (0.5%) | (0.5%) | (0.5%) | (0.5%) |
Strategy Summary
Welcome to the MARKET TRENDS portfolio by http://IntelligentValue.com. This portfolio profits from changes in market trends based on the S&P 500 with two leveraged ETFs, SSO and SDS. We buy at overbought or oversold inflection points and fade out of a position as momentum declines and risk increases.
Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Subscribe to System
| Seven-day free trial, then $49 per month | Details |
There is a free trial period of 7 days before you are charged. You may cancel at any time before this (we send you an email at least a day before, to remind you, so there are no surprises.)
Then, after the trial, you will be charged $49 per month. (That is, we will charge you every 30 days - not when the month name on the calendar changes. So it's okay to sign up towards the end of a calendar month. You'll still get a full 30 days.)
Or... Want to try AutoTrading without risking real money? Trade this with $100,000 simulated dollars, for free.
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Model Account Status
| Started | $10,000 |
|---|---|
| Buy Power | $10,749 |
| Cash | $1 |
| Equity | $1 |
| Cumulative $* | $749 |
| Total System Equity | $10,749 |
| Margined | $1 |
| Open P/L | $0 |
| System vendor has delayed data by 7 days for non-subs. | |
System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by seven days.
| Hypothetical Trading Results | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opened ET | B/S | # | Symbol | Price | Closed | Price | Risk | P/L | |
| 8/18/11 13:46 | BUY | 366 | BGZ | DIREXION SHARS LRG BR 3X | 48.37 | 8/1814:03 | 47.80 | Normal | ($216) |
| 8/17/11 9:30 | BUY | 400 | BGU | DIREXION SHARS LRG BULL | 57.99 | 8/189:30 | 52.50 | Extreme | ($2,204) |
| 6/10/11 9:42 | BUY | 400 | BGZ | DIREXION SHARS LRG BR 3X | 38.28 | 6/2111:17 | 37.00 | Normal | ($520) |
| 6/8/11 9:34 | BUY | 366 | BGZ | DIREXION SHARS LRG BR 3X | 38.10 | 6/912:57 | 37.39 | Normal | ($267) |
| 6/6/11 10:12 | BUY | 366 | BGZ | DIREXION SHARS LRG BR 3X | 37.26 | 6/79:34 | 37.31 | Low | $11 |
| 6/2/11 9:50 | BUY | 257 | BGU | DIREXION SHARS LRG BULL | 82.06 | 6/211:12 | 81.50 | Low | ($149) |
| 5/25/11 12:06 | BUY | 200 | BGU | DIREXION SHARS LRG BULL | 83.01 | 5/269:55 | 82.00 | Low | ($206) |
| 3/17/11 9:54 | BUY | 504 | BGU | DIREXION SHARS LRG BULL | 80.23 | 5/239:54 | 80.43 | Low | $90 |
| 12/3/10 9:30 | BUY | 448 | BGU | DIREXION SHARS LRG BULL | 68.90 | 2/23/11 11:58 | 75.81 | Low | $3,087 |
| 11/18/10 10:41 | BUY | 280 | BGU | DIREXION SHARS LRG BULL | 61.46 | 11/199:53 | 60.00 | Normal | ($415) |
| 11/4/10 12:40 | BUY | 300 | BGU | DIREXION SHARS LRG BULL | 63.94 | 11/1210:38 | 62.00 | Normal | ($588) |
| 10/19/10 14:15 | BUY | 424 | SSO | PROSHARES ULTRA S&P 500 | 41.05 | 10/2013:12 | 42.14 | Low | $454 |
| 10/18/10 12:43 | BUY | 424 | SSO | PROSHARES ULTRA S&P 500 | 42.05 | 10/199:33 | 41.30 | Normal | ($326) |
| 10/12/10 10:00 | BUY | 600 | QLD | Proshares Ultra QQQ ETF 2x | 33.53 | 10/1210:56 | 34.28 | Low | $435 |
| 10/11/10 9:56 | BUY | 340 | QLD | Proshares Ultra QQQ ETF 2x | 34.22 | 10/1115:24 | 34.10 | Low | ($50) |
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Statistics
Analytics| All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results | |
|---|---|
| Trades | 68 |
| # Profitable | 29 (42.6%) |
| # months tracked | 28 |
| Profitable months | 11 (39.3%) |
| Avg trade duration | 4.9 days |
| Annual return (compounded) | 3.3% |
| Average win | $314 |
| Average loss | $214 |
| Profit factor | 1.1:1 |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical) | 31.65% |
| drawdown period | April 06, 2011 to Aug 18, 2011 |
| Correlation w/ S&P | 0.158 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.139 |
| Keep after worst-case slippage | 79.6% |
| Probabilities of future account loss | |
| Chance of 10% account loss | 75.0% |
| Chance of 20% account loss | 29.4% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 27.8% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 100% account loss | 0.0% |
| Average Profit to Drawdown (APD) | 0.06 |
| Average P/L per unit traded | ($0.11) |
| Sum of dividends and cash expir. in model account | $2 |
System Description
Welcome to MARKET TRENDS REAL-TIME Portfolio by MoneySuccess, Inc. This portfolio seeks to make substantial, market-beating profits while keeping drawdowns to a minimum.
If you are interested in low-risk trades, minimal attention to the portfolio, and steady profits with low drawdown, you're in the right place. If interested, you can set up autotrading with any of C2s affiliated brokers and the trades will be executed automatically.
HOW IT WORKS (LONG): When our proprietary market timing system shows a buy signal from oversold levels and it is confirmed by other technical indicators, the portfolio will purchase a position in SSO, the Proshares 2X LONG ETF.
HOW IT WORKS (SHORT): When our proprietary market timing system shows a buy signal from overbought levels and it is confirmed by other technical indicators, the portfolio will purchase a position in SDS, the Proshares 2X SHORT ETF.
Our trade signals require consistent setups with long and short-term signals in agreement. If both long and short-term indicators move simultaneously, we get the most pop from the trade setup.
If the direction the market is unclear, we will remain in cash. If we feel that the market could break out in either direction from a trading range, we may place a long/short pair’s trade in the portfolio using both SSO and SDS. Each position will have a stop on it at the high / low of the range. When the breakout occurs, one of the positions will be stopped out while the other will continue higher with strong profits. The period from Nov. 9 to December 21 in 2009 is a classic example of a market trading in a narrow consolidation pattern with a possible breakout in either direction. The 'Long/Short Pairs w/Stops" trade is a powerful winning approach that we will use when appropriate.
To exit a position, we typically raise the stop at regular intervals as the ETF appreciates in value, which allows the position to move higher while limiting the downside. We may also issue a straightforward sell alert if both long and short-term indicators change direction simultaneously.
Our objective is to produce steady, reliable profits in any market environment. The equity curve and portfolio statistics provided by C2 back up the successful achievement of this objective!
If you are interested in low-risk trades, minimal attention to the portfolio, and steady profits with low drawdown, you're in the right place. If interested, you can set up autotrading with any of C2s affiliated brokers and the trades will be executed automatically.
HOW IT WORKS (LONG): When our proprietary market timing system shows a buy signal from oversold levels and it is confirmed by other technical indicators, the portfolio will purchase a position in SSO, the Proshares 2X LONG ETF.
HOW IT WORKS (SHORT): When our proprietary market timing system shows a buy signal from overbought levels and it is confirmed by other technical indicators, the portfolio will purchase a position in SDS, the Proshares 2X SHORT ETF.
Our trade signals require consistent setups with long and short-term signals in agreement. If both long and short-term indicators move simultaneously, we get the most pop from the trade setup.
If the direction the market is unclear, we will remain in cash. If we feel that the market could break out in either direction from a trading range, we may place a long/short pair’s trade in the portfolio using both SSO and SDS. Each position will have a stop on it at the high / low of the range. When the breakout occurs, one of the positions will be stopped out while the other will continue higher with strong profits. The period from Nov. 9 to December 21 in 2009 is a classic example of a market trading in a narrow consolidation pattern with a possible breakout in either direction. The 'Long/Short Pairs w/Stops" trade is a powerful winning approach that we will use when appropriate.
To exit a position, we typically raise the stop at regular intervals as the ETF appreciates in value, which allows the position to move higher while limiting the downside. We may also issue a straightforward sell alert if both long and short-term indicators change direction simultaneously.
Our objective is to produce steady, reliable profits in any market environment. The equity curve and portfolio statistics provided by C2 back up the successful achievement of this objective!
- Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
